by erichris » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:22 pm
Just judging by the Paizo vs WoTC booths at Gen Con this year, I'd say Paizo is going to come out way ahead. In the past, there was always the TSR/WoTC Castle, taking up a significant fraction of the show floor, towering above everyone else. This year, they were in a medium-sized booth off in a far corner, and there didn't seem to be much of a crowd.
Meanwhile, Paizo had a big open booth space like a small game shop, and they sold out of the Beta version of Pathfinder RPG Core Rules in two days. I snagged a copy on Thursday, myself.
I suspect neither will "win", but rather D&D will just fragment based on preferences, 4E taking the younger MMORPG crowd and Pathfinder taking more of the longtime D&D players. That, and previous editions may have a resurgence in popularity, like the reincarnations of AD&D 1E in the all-open/free OSRIC or Gygax's Castles & Crusades.
Just observations and opinions post-Gencon'08.
Chris